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Table 2 Projected number of maternal, paternal, and double AIDS orphans incurred and averted, per sub-Saharan African country, at year 2020

From: Estimating the impact of expanded access to antiretroviral therapy on maternal, paternal and double orphans in sub-Saharan Africa, 2009-2020

 

South Africa

Uganda

Nigeria

Kenya

Zimbabwe

Tanzania

Ethiopia

Zambia

Malawi

Cote d'Ivoire

Orphans incurred with universal ART access

          

Maternal

1,379,420

379,000

887,810

691,022

286,624

549,876

316,258

413,474

312,314

151,461

Paternal

1,452,297

592,386

1,165,760

913,492

410,784

735,112

421,703

535,465

432,220

241,890

Double

688,762

151,493

201,155

378,776

171,243

233,989

77,547

224,763

126,391

77,932

All

2,258,756

857,842

1,982,969

1,288,338

561,259

1,096,206

693,419

769,052

632,518

325,891

Orphans incurred by sustaining current ART access

          

Maternal

2,258,756

567,307

1,413,087

1,175,760

362,142

883,904

497,135

641,775

491,560

224,070

Paternal

1,813,896

735,912

1,501,877

1,238,024

433,892

1,008,982

547,186

663,933

557,547

288,159

Double

940,552

192,112

282,339

503,190

188,051

318,425

98,724

290,848

174,617

91,513

All

3,160,461

1,163,017

2,821,983

2,005,720

648,220

1,641,721

994,221

1,075,967

894,946

435,012

Orphans averted with universal ART access

          

Maternal

879,336

188,307

525,277

484,738

75,518

334,028

180,877

228,301

179,246

72,609

Paternal

361,599

143,526

336,117

324,532

23,108

273,870

125,483

128,468

125,327

46,269

Double

251,790

40,619

81,184

124,414

16,808

84,436

21,177

66,085

48,226

13,581

All

901,705

305,175

839,014

717,382

86,961

545,515

300,802

306,915

262,428

109,121